01 · Final recorded states
The Seven Seats
One episode, caught at its end. Six districts and the downstream seat gather around a shared commons; the circle is only a metaphor, since in the simulation everyone draws at once. The seventh seat fills as its shortfall grows, measured against the minimum the river owes downstream. You are looking at a final state, not a replay.
Exact selected snapshot and source references
02 · Descriptive evidence
The Ladder
Each episode lands on the first rung its record never reached, climbing from evidence towards outcome. “No recorded hazard” is its own category, not a failure to protect. Two honest limits: reading evidence is not the same as understanding it, and these rungs describe what happened, not why.
Where the record stops
Exact counts by cell
Mean downstream shortfall
In water units, with descriptive 95% scenario-bootstrap intervals. Means use complete scenario blocks only; N counts scenarios per cell.
Factorial contrasts
Negative numbers mean less shortfall: good news for downstream. Each estimate carries a 95% complete-scenario bootstrap interval from the frozen analysis, with no multiplicity correction. The interaction is exploratory.
Missing episodes, incomplete blocks and opportunity limits
Actionable witness coverage (AWC) is a conservative proxy inherited from the design and read at each phase end. It can miss extra replan opportunities, and it is not a measure of comprehension.
03 · View / claim / act / truth
The Witness Record
Meet the first complete scenario on the locked worklist, in all four cells. It was chosen by its place in the queue, not by how dramatic it looks. Agent words appear exactly as written, in quotation; a “view” is the information the record shows an agent was given, not a claim about what it believed.
04 · Matched reruns
Two Rivers
Set two cells of the same scenario side by side. Each was sampled separately; these are matched reruns, not counterfactuals. River bars share a scale within the pair. Missing records are shown as missing, never as zero.
Provenance & limits
What every mark means
The seal, optional soundtrack and cinematic effects are presentation only; none represents an experimental event or result. The diagrams show simulated water allocations, not real rivers or real communities. The experiment tests this one world and this one fixed model configuration; it does not show that AI systems protect absent parties in general.
Episode and event provenance · Exhibit file hashes · Static release manifest
The public research archive contains the curated episode logs and reproduction instructions. Provider caches, credentials and private budget databases are excluded.